Author: Cabarrus Weekly

UNITED STATES — Ensemble guidance continues to trend upward for a potentially significant severe weather setup across the Southern Plains around March 5, with model signals increasingly favoring central and north Texas into southern Oklahoma as the corridor to watch. Recent GEFS runs show a notable expansion in probabilities for favorable severe-weather synoptics across portions…

UNITED STATES — Forecast guidance is pointing toward a dramatic pattern change as we move into March, beginning with a potential winter storm setup across the Midwest, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast before flipping toward widespread warmth and an active, rain-dominated storm track across the central and eastern United States. Early March Winter Storm Potential…

UNITED STATES — One of the most devastating winter storms in American history unfolded when a powerful coastal system stalled along the Eastern Seaboard, unloading extraordinary snowfall totals from Pennsylvania to Maine and shutting down some of the nation’s largest cities. The Great Blizzard overwhelmed infrastructure, stranded thousands, and produced snowfall amounts that remain legendary…

UNITED STATES — Long-range guidance is signaling a notable pattern change in early March, with an active storm track expected to develop from the Southern Plains into the Midwest beginning around March 5 and potentially lasting into mid-month. Rapid Transition Toward an Active Pattern Ensemble precipitation anomaly forecasts highlight a corridor of above-normal rainfall stretching…

SOUTHERN UNITED STATES — A significant severe weather outbreak tore across the Deep South as a powerful squall line moved from Arkansas into Mississippi and Tennessee, producing widespread damaging winds and multiple tornadoes. Moderate Risk Issued Across the Mid-South The Storm Prediction Center placed portions of Mississippi, western Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, northern Louisiana, and western…

UNITED STATES — The Climate Prediction Center is highlighting a developing risk of heavy precipitation from March 4 through March 10, 2026, with a broad corridor stretching from parts of Texas northward into the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Slight Risk Area Spans South-Central to Midwest States Forecast guidance outlines a Slight Risk (20–40% probability) zone…

NORTHEAST UNITED STATES — Another round of snow may target the region early next week, with current model guidance suggesting inland areas are more likely to see meaningful accumulation than the immediate coastline. Inland Corridor Favored Over Coastal Cities Preliminary ensemble data highlights the greatest probability for 3 or more inches of snowfall stretching from…

UNITED STATES — Preliminary global climate data is showing a dramatic surge in ocean temperatures, with early 2026 sea surface readings climbing well above recent record levels as La Niña fades and signs of El Niño begin to emerge. Daily Global Sea Surface Temperatures Climb Sharply According to global daily sea surface temperature data spanning…

INDIANA — A weak weather disturbance will bring patchy light rain and snow to parts of the state Wednesday night into early Thursday, with minimal accumulation expected but a few slick spots possible for the morning commute. Light Rain and Snow Mix Developing Overnight Forecast guidance shows light snow or a rain/snow mix possible Wednesday…

ILLINOIS — A recent RISE-26 weather balloon launch is offering a detailed look at the vertical wind profile over the state, though not without challenges near the surface as forecasters work to clean up noisy launch data and better represent true wind structure. Surface Data Noise Creates Hodograph Challenge Meteorologists analyzing the RISE-26 sounding noted…