UNITED STATES — A significant upper air data gap is raising serious concerns this Sunday, May 10, 2026, as 10 states stretching from Arizona and New Mexico north to Canada reported zero upper air observations at the 12Z analysis time — precisely when an elevated severe weather risk is unfolding across much of Texas. What…
WEST TEXAS — The Storm Prediction Center has issued Mesoscale Discussion #693 valid until 2:30 PM CDT on May 10, 2026, flagging a 95% severe weather watch probability across west and central Texas. Supercells are expected to form this afternoon bringing large hail, damaging winds, and a possible tornado. What SPC Mesoscale Discussion #693 Shows…
SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES — The second heat wave of the year is fully underway across the Southwest, with Phoenix approaching 110 degrees and Las Vegas reaching 100 for the first time in 2026, as a powerful surge of heat dominates the region through Tuesday, May 12. Cities Baking Under the Heat Surge The heat dome…
NORTHWEST TEXAS — The tornado threat has been officially upgraded across Northwest Texas this Sunday afternoon and evening, May 10, 2026, with Abilene directly in the highest-risk zone. Supercell thunderstorms are forecast to erupt out of the Permian Basin into the Texas Hill Country by 3 to 4 PM, bringing the threat of gorilla hail…
CENTRAL TEXAS — Tornado chances are increasing across central Texas this Sunday evening, May 10, 2026, as supercell thunderstorms are expected to fire later tonight. Alongside the tornado threat, damaging winds and very large hail will also be possible as the storm system develops. Tornado Probability Zone Targets the Heart of Central Texas Tornado probability…
CENTRAL FLORIDA — A line of potentially severe thunderstorms is set to push through the I-95 corridor of central Florida on the evening of Sunday, May 10, threatening outdoor Mother’s Day plans from Palm Coast south through Daytona Beach, Orlando, Titusville, and down to Cocoa Beach. Storms Building Along the Coast by Late Afternoon The…
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A line of storms is forecast to form after 4:00 PM on Sunday, May 10, 2026, with the primary threat window running from 6:00 PM to 9:00 PM as clusters of strong cells push through the Baltimore, Washington, York, and Harrisburg corridor. Storms could reach severe limits with damaging wind and hail…
ABILENE, TEXAS — Cells are forecast to develop near Abilene, Texas between 3:00 and 5:00 PM on Sunday, May 10, 2026, with an atmosphere loaded with 2000 to 3500 J/kg of surface-based CAPE providing enormous energy for storm intensification. Forecasters warn that baseball-size or larger hail warnings should not be a surprise across the region…
ALABAMA — A dense fog advisory is in effect for all of Alabama Sunday morning, with the fog expected to dissipate by mid-morning. After the foggy start, most of Sunday will be dry with only a few small isolated showers possible this afternoon before a surface front brings a chance of widely scattered showers or…
TEXAS — An Enhanced Risk Level 3 of 5 of severe storms is in place across a broad corridor of Texas on Sunday, May 10, 2026, with very large hail the primary hazard initially followed by an increasing damaging wind threat after dark as storms undergo upscale growth into an organized system. Wind gusts of…