WEST TEXAS — A Level 2 out of 5 Slight Risk for severe weather is in effect across portions of western Texas on Friday, May 29, 2026, with the primary threat being an isolated dry downburst capable of winds exceeding 75 mph. Jet stream momentum aloft combined with dry surface winds accelerating downdrafts is creating…
COLUMBIA, SOUTH CAROLINA — The massive sonic boom that shook the Columbia, South Carolina metro at 5:24 PM on May 28, 2026 remains unconfirmed in origin, but investigators are narrowing the possibilities through elimination. As of May 29, three major causes have been officially ruled out, leaving a meteor or bolide event as the leading…
SOUTHERN KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA — Forecasters are closely monitoring southern Kansas into Oklahoma for potential supercell development Friday afternoon, May 29, 2026, but significant uncertainties are tempering confidence in the setup. A solid atmospheric environment featuring near 3,000 ML CAPE and good low-level wind turning is in place, but stubborn elevated storms, abundant high clouds…
UNITED STATES — A post-event analysis is now underway on the April 27, 2026 Moderate Risk severe weather event that swept across the central United States, and the results tell a story of a system that significantly underperformed its tornado potential. Despite forecasts calling for numerous supercells with intense, long-track tornadoes, the event produced approximately…
UNITED STATES — A growing severe weather threat is taking shape for Saturday, May 30, 2026, with all hazards in play across a corridor stretching from Texas to Montana. The categorical outlook updated at 4:13 AM ET on May 29, 2026 shows the highest risk concentrated across Nebraska and South Dakota, with a Slight Risk…
UNITED STATES — A strong El Nino event is shaping up to have significant consequences for summer rainfall patterns across the central and eastern United States. Historical data from the five strongest El Nino summers on record, using analog years of 1982, 1987, 1997, 2015 and 2023, shows a consistent pattern of above-normal precipitation running…
FLORIDA — A dramatic shift in the rainfall forecast for Florida has emerged between two model runs just days apart, with projected totals across the peninsula dropping significantly from what was showing as a multi-inch super soaker down to just 1 to 2 inches for most of the state through Monday, June 8, 2026. The…
COLUMBIA, SOUTH CAROLINA — A massive sonic boom shook the entire Columbia, South Carolina metro at 5:24 PM on Thursday, May 28, 2026, triggering widespread reports of earthquake-like shaking across the region. The United States Geological Survey has confirmed the event was not a seismic event, with recorded waves and eyewitness reports consistent with a…
KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA — A powerful upper-level trough is charging into the central Plains this Saturday, May 30, 2026, setting the stage for significant severe weather across Kansas and Oklahoma. The upper-air analysis map shows a deeply amplified trough digging into the region with strong wind energy and diffluent flow across the primary threat zone,…
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS — The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Special Weather Statement at 2:24 PM CDT on Thursday, May 28, 2026, warning that conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for funnel clouds and possible landspouts across south-central Kansas this afternoon. A few cold air funnels are also possible extending into extreme northern…