MID-ATLANTIC — A potential late-weekend winter system is drawing growing attention across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, as several artificial intelligence–based weather models signal a developing coastal low that could bring a mix of rain and snow by early Monday, February 23. While it is far from a locked-in forecast, the latest 18z model runs show…
MIDWEST — New forecast trends for Thursday indicate a potentially volatile setup developing from eastern Kansas through Missouri and into Illinois, where moisture may wrap northwestward into a surface low ahead of a dryline. Recent model guidance highlights a corridor of improving low-level moisture overlapping with steep mid-level lapse rates, creating an environment that could…
EAST COAST — Advanced AI-based forecast models are increasingly pointing toward a potentially significant winter storm along the I-95 corridor, with a deep coastal low and widespread snowfall from the Mid-Atlantic into New England. Recent guidance indicates a 978 mb low pressure system developing off the Mid-Atlantic coast and intensifying as it tracks northeast. The…
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND — An extremely narrow swath of moderate snowfall is expected to develop tomorrow afternoon and continue into the overnight hours, bringing a sharp gradient in totals across the region. For many communities, precipitation will begin as rain before transitioning to snow, especially as colder air filters in during the evening. The heaviest…
UNITED STATES — A sharp east–west weather divide is taking shape across the country, with new ensemble guidance pointing to a brief but notable cold surge across the Eastern U.S. early next week, while much of the West turns significantly warmer than normal. The latest GEFS Heating Degree Day (HDD) trends show a rebound in…
NEW YORK — Long-range model guidance is highlighting the potential for a slow-moving, deepening coastal low near the classic “benchmark” position early next week, raising the possibility of a widespread snow event from eastern New York through much of New England. Forecast projections for Monday into Tuesday show a strengthening low-pressure system offshore, positioned southeast…
INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND — A developing late-week storm system could bring a swath of accumulating snow across much of interior New England on Friday, as strong high pressure over Canada funnels just enough cold air south to keep precipitation falling as snow. Forecast guidance indicates the most significant accumulation potential will stay inland, away from…
BRITISH COLUMBIA — A developing upper-level shortwave combined with modified Arctic air could set the stage for a potential accumulating snow event across metro Vancouver and lower elevations late Wednesday night into Thursday. Forecast guidance indicates this may be one of the few realistic opportunities this season for measurable snow in lower-elevation areas of the…
NORTHWEST KANSAS — Extremely Critical fire weather conditions are expected Tuesday across portions of the central High Plains, where strong winds, very low humidity and dry fuels will combine to create a volatile wildfire environment. The highest threat zone centers on northeast Colorado, extending into western and southwest Nebraska and far northwest Kansas, where fire…
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA — A developing quasi-linear convective system (QLCS) is advancing toward the Central and Southern California coastline, placing areas from San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara to Ventura, Los Angeles and Long Beach under a risk for strong winds and a brief isolated tornado or waterspout. The line of thunderstorms is approaching from the…