UNITED STATES — The latest February update from the International Research Institute (IRI) shows a growing and increasingly consistent signal for El Niño development into Summer 2026, with most major climate models projecting warming sea surface temperatures across the central Pacific. Current Niño 3.4 observations remain slightly negative, but guidance trends strongly upward through spring…
NORTH CAROLINA — As of 11:55 AM, the bulk of remaining scattered showers are concentrated across central and eastern parts of the state, with radar showing pockets of light to moderate rain gradually shifting eastward. Forecasters indicate conditions will steadily improve through the afternoon. Central NC Seeing Spotty Midday Showers Radar imagery shows bands of…
UNITED STATES — With meteorological spring officially beginning next weekend, new model data is hinting that winter may deliver one more brief reminder before fully stepping aside. Forecast guidance is showing a potential push of colder air sliding through parts of the central United States around Sunday. At this stage, confidence remains low and the…
OHIO — As the region approaches its traditional spring severe weather uptick, newly highlighted 30-year data is putting tornado risk across the Miami Valley and neighboring Indiana into clearer perspective. The latest probability map, based on Storm Prediction Center data from 1994–2024, shows that much of western Ohio faces a 70–80% annual chance of a…
Virginia – The latest National Weather Service snowfall projection through 7:00 AM Monday highlights a widespread and steady accumulation event stretching from the central Appalachians through the Mid-Atlantic and into southern New England, with some coastal areas still snowing at that time. The map reflects total snowfall between February 20 and early Monday, with maximum…
Bloomington – After a tense night across parts of Indiana and neighboring Illinois, storm chasers are recounting just how close things came as two tornadoes spun through the region — narrowly sparing parts of Bloomington in what’s being described as a “skipper” event. Tornadoes Observed Up Close Near Bloomington Storm observers reported witnessing two tornadoes…
UNITED STATES — The latest 06Z Euro-AI operational model run is depicting a broad and impactful late-winter snowfall event stretching from the central Plains through the Midwest and into the Northeast as two storm systems combine over several days. It’s important to emphasize that this is a single model solution — not an official forecast…
COLORADO — A fast-moving storm system is sweeping across the state from west to east today, bringing accumulating snow to the Western Slope and mountain regions before more scattered showers develop along the Front Range and eastern plains. Snow is already underway across western Colorado early Friday, with precipitation expected to spread eastward through the…
PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY — Confidence is increasing in a late-February winter storm as multiple major forecast models come into stronger alignment for a system expected around 00z Monday, February 23, 2026. The latest NAM 3km guidance, initialized at 12z February 20, shows a broad shield of snow overspreading eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and into…
ILLINOIS — Three tornado-warned supercells are currently tracking across eastern Illinois, with the most concerning storm located just north of Chauncey, where a funnel or tornado has already been reported. Northern Storms Track Along Warm Front Near Casey and Martinsville The two northern supercells are positioned along and just north of the warm front, impacting…