UNITED STATES — Long-range guidance is signaling a notable pattern change in early March, with an active storm track expected to develop from the Southern Plains into the Midwest beginning around March 5 and potentially lasting into mid-month. Rapid Transition Toward an Active Pattern Ensemble precipitation anomaly forecasts highlight a corridor of above-normal rainfall stretching…
SOUTHERN UNITED STATES — A significant severe weather outbreak tore across the Deep South as a powerful squall line moved from Arkansas into Mississippi and Tennessee, producing widespread damaging winds and multiple tornadoes. Moderate Risk Issued Across the Mid-South The Storm Prediction Center placed portions of Mississippi, western Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, northern Louisiana, and western…
UNITED STATES — The Climate Prediction Center is highlighting a developing risk of heavy precipitation from March 4 through March 10, 2026, with a broad corridor stretching from parts of Texas northward into the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Slight Risk Area Spans South-Central to Midwest States Forecast guidance outlines a Slight Risk (20–40% probability) zone…
NORTHEAST UNITED STATES — Another round of snow may target the region early next week, with current model guidance suggesting inland areas are more likely to see meaningful accumulation than the immediate coastline. Inland Corridor Favored Over Coastal Cities Preliminary ensemble data highlights the greatest probability for 3 or more inches of snowfall stretching from…
UNITED STATES — Preliminary global climate data is showing a dramatic surge in ocean temperatures, with early 2026 sea surface readings climbing well above recent record levels as La Niña fades and signs of El Niño begin to emerge. Daily Global Sea Surface Temperatures Climb Sharply According to global daily sea surface temperature data spanning…
INDIANA — A weak weather disturbance will bring patchy light rain and snow to parts of the state Wednesday night into early Thursday, with minimal accumulation expected but a few slick spots possible for the morning commute. Light Rain and Snow Mix Developing Overnight Forecast guidance shows light snow or a rain/snow mix possible Wednesday…
ILLINOIS — A recent RISE-26 weather balloon launch is offering a detailed look at the vertical wind profile over the state, though not without challenges near the surface as forecasters work to clean up noisy launch data and better represent true wind structure. Surface Data Noise Creates Hodograph Challenge Meteorologists analyzing the RISE-26 sounding noted…
UNITED STATES — After a brief return to colder and snowier conditions, the western U.S. has re-entered a period of sustained anomalous warmth, with daily record high temperatures being approached or broken across portions of the Southern Rockies and interior Southwest. Daily Records Falling Across the Southern Rockies Data valid as of 2100 UTC on…
IOWA — A compact winter system is moving across the state this afternoon and will continue through the overnight hours into Thursday morning, setting up a narrow corridor of accumulating snow across central Iowa. Narrow Snow Band Targets Central Iowa Forecast guidance shows a focused band of 1 to 2 inches of snowfall developing from…
FLORIDA — A rapidly growing wildfire in Collier County has surged to 25,000 acres burned and remains 0% contained, prompting serious concerns about smoke impacts and visibility across South Florida. The blaze, identified as the National Fire, is burning in the Everglades region west of Miami and north of Marco Island and Chokoloskee, with smoke…