Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky and Mississippi Face Scattered 1.5 to 3 Inches of Rainfall Monday Through Thursday With Localized Flooding Risk Across Lower Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys
MISSOURI, TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY — A wet week is setting up across the lower Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys from Monday, May 4 through Thursday, May 7, 2026, with modeled rainfall totals of 1.5 to 3 inches scattered across the core zone and a localized flooding risk developing across the region as multiple rounds of rain move through.
Core Zone Faces 1.5 to 3 Inches Through Thursday
The heaviest rainfall through Thursday is concentrated inside a defined corridor covering St. Louis, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Nashville, Memphis, Knoxville and Jackson. Deep orange and red shading on the modeled rainfall map confirms the 1.5 to 3 inch scattered total range across this zone, with the highest amounts centered on western Tennessee, southern Missouri and northern Mississippi.
Surrounding Areas See Lighter but Still Meaningful Totals
Outside the core zone, rainfall totals drop off significantly:
- Cleveland, Pittsburgh and the Northeast corridor — locally 1 to 2 inches
- Chicago, Milwaukee and the upper Midwest — totals under 0.25 inches
- Dallas, Tulsa and the Southern Plains — totals under 0.25 inches
- Atlanta, Columbia and the Southeast — lighter scattered amounts
Rainfall Totals by Zone Monday Through Thursday
| Zone | Forecast Rainfall |
|---|---|
| St. Louis, Nashville, Memphis core | Scattered 1.5 to 3.0 inches |
| Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Knoxville | Scattered 1.5 to 3.0 inches |
| Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Buffalo | Locally 1.0 to 2.0 inches |
| Chicago, Des Moines, Omaha | Under 0.25 inches |
| Dallas, Tulsa, Oklahoma City | Under 0.25 inches |
Localized Flooding Risk Developing Through the Week
The combination of multiple rain rounds across the lower Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys through Thursday is generating a localized flooding risk across the region. Areas along and near river corridors across Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky and Mississippi should monitor conditions closely as rainfall accumulates through the week.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for daily rainfall and flood risk updates across the Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys through Thursday May 7.
