Weather

WESTERN GULF COAST — Several days of dangerous heavy rainfall are beginning today across the western Gulf Coast, with Flood Watches and a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall Level 2 of 4 already issued for today, Saturday, and Sunday through Memorial Day. The 5-day forecast through the holiday weekend is showing 5 to 7 inches…

SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES — A high-confidence signal for repeated rounds of heavy rain and storms across the Southeast remains firmly in place through Wednesday, May 27, 2026, with forecast ensemble data showing widespread totals of 2 to 4 inches or more across the Carolinas, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and surrounding states. Today’s activity will be…

UNITED STATES — NOAA has released its 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook for the season running June 1 through November 30, 2026, forecasting a 55 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 35 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season. NOAA carries 70 percent confidence in…

UNITED STATES — With growing discussion around a potential strong or super El Niño developing, it is critical to understand what historical data actually shows about how these events impact the United States during summer. Based on the top five strongest El Niño events since 1980, including analog years 1982, 1987, 1997, 2015, and 2023,…

EASTERN COLORADO — Isolated to widely scattered supercell thunderstorms are forecast to develop across eastern Colorado by mid to late afternoon on Thursday, May 21, 2026, pushing into a Slight Risk zone centered over the eastern plains and bringing threats of large hail, damaging winds, and a low-end tornado risk as moisture continues to increase…

MID-ATLANTIC — A multi-day soaking rain event is unfolding across the Mid-Atlantic region through Sunday, May 25, 2026, with forecast totals of 1 to 3 inches expected to bring May rainfall back toward near-normal levels for a region that has been in severe drought for most of the past year. While this rain will not…

LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY, TEXAS — The Weather Prediction Center has issued Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion Number 0201 affecting the Lower Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas as of 0210Z on Wednesday, May 21, 2026. Forecasters are warning that efficient rain rates of 2 inches per hour combined with slow-moving storm cells are creating the…

OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS — The Storm Prediction Center issued its Day 2 Categorical Outlook at 12:54 AM CDT on Thursday, May 21, 2026, placing portions of the southern Plains under a Slight Risk of severe weather valid from 1200Z Friday, May 22 through 1200Z Saturday, May 23. The outlook was issued by SPC forecaster Thornton…

COLORADO — The Storm Prediction Center issued its Day 1 Categorical Outlook at 12:54 AM CDT on Thursday, May 21, 2026, placing parts of eastern Colorado under a Slight Risk of severe weather valid from 1200Z Thursday through 1200Z Friday, May 22. The outlook was issued by SPC forecasters Broyles and Squitieri out of Norman,…

INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA — After a rainy Friday night, showers are forecast to exit the Indianapolis metro by 9:00 AM on Saturday, May 23, 2026, bringing dry conditions just in time for the Indianapolis 500 Parade. However, forecasters are still watching Sunday’s race day closely, as rain chances remain on the table for one of the…