UNITED STATES — Low end severe weather is possible across several areas of the country on Memorial Day, Monday May 25, 2026, according to the Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Categorical Outlook issued at 1242z, valid from 1300z Monday May 25 through 1200z Tuesday May 26, 2026. The outlook covers a broad footprint from the…
ALABAMA — Areas of rain and thunderstorms are moving northward through Alabama on Memorial Day Monday May 25, 2026, with a Flash Flood Watch now in effect for much of the state issued by the National Weather Service. Severe storms are not expected with this system, but heavy rainfall and flash flooding remain the primary…
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — The Baltimore metro has recorded 1 to 4 inches of rain since last Wednesday as a stalled frontal boundary continues to sit south of the city, keeping the region locked in a persistently wet pattern. A critical pattern flip is possible Wednesday May 27, with significant storms capable of developing before the…
UNITED STATES — Cooler than normal temperatures will dominate a large portion of the eastern United States from May 27 through June 3, 2026, as a northerly flow pattern drives temperatures a few degrees below normal across the Midwest, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Carolinas heading into the start of meteorological summer. The GEFS…
UNITED STATES — Tornado Alley is effectively closed until the second week of June, as an omega block pattern locks hot, dry, sinking air across the Great Plains during what is historically the peak week of tornado season. The atmosphere is running 60 to 70 percent below normal tornado activity for May, Oklahoma has not…
UNITED STATES — A substantial blocking high pressure system anchoring over Northern Canada is set to dramatically reshape the weather pattern across the central United States as May closes and June begins, cutting off meaningful rain chances for the Midwest while building hot and dry conditions across the Northern Plains in a setup forecasters are…
WESTERN UNITED STATES — A strong omega-like blocking pattern combined with deep moisture returning across the entire High Plains is setting up what storm chasers are eyeing as a significant chase window from May 26 through June 5, 2026. The Western Plains carry the highest confidence for active severe weather during this period, though pinning…
UNITED STATES — The summer precipitation outlook for June, July, and August 2026 is taking shape under the influence of a strong El Nino, with forecasters favoring above normal precipitation across the central United States while the northern tier and south central regions face drier than normal conditions. The JJA Precipitation Outlook updated May 20,…
FLORIDA — Significant drought relief is on the way for Florida as a plume of deep tropical moisture is forecast to move across the state during the second half of next week, bringing multiple rounds of beneficial rainfall to a state currently experiencing its worst drought in over 25 years. The ECMWF model initialized at…
UNITED STATES — Thunderstorm chances will cover a large portion of the country on Memorial Day, Monday May 25, 2026, according to the categorical outlook issued at 3:58 AM ET on May 24, 2026. While no severe weather risks are currently outlined, forecasters are watching the Southeast closely for a potential non-zero severe threat that…