Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana and Mississippi Face 15 Percent Tornado Probability Today and Tomorrow With Memphis, Little Rock and Dallas in the Risk Zone
ARKANSAS, TENNESSEE, LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI — SPC tornado probabilities are rising for today and tomorrow as atmospheric conditions improve for tornado development across the Mid South. The core risk zone shows a 15 percent tornado probability with hatched significant tornado shading across Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana and Mississippi, while a separate 2 percent tornado probability extends as far north as upstate New York and northern New England.
Today’s Tornado Risk — Core Zone Across Arkansas and Tennessee
The SPC tornado probability map for today places the 15 percent hatched zone centered across Arkansas and western Tennessee, with intensity ratings of 2 and 3 across the core. Larger population centers listed inside the risk area include:
- Memphis, TN
- Little Rock, AR
- North Little Rock, AR
- Jonesboro, AR
- Conway, AR
- Dallas, TX
- Fort Worth, TX
- Arlington, TX
- Plano, TX
- Garland, TX
Tomorrow’s Tornado Risk Shifts South Into Louisiana and Mississippi
The tornado probability outlook for tomorrow shifts the core hatched zone southward into Louisiana and Mississippi, with the 15 percent tornado probability now centered across Shreveport, Jackson, Bossier City, Monroe, Alexandria and Greenville MS. A broader surrounding zone extends the threat into Birmingham, Huntsville, Chattanooga, Waco and Tyler TX.
Northeast Also Faces a 2 Percent Tornado Chance Today
A separate and notable signal on today’s outlook places a 2 percent tornado probability across upstate New York and northern New England including the Burlington, Watertown, Albany and Binghamton corridors. While the probability is low, the signal reflects improving atmospheric conditions even well north of the primary threat zone.
Tornado Probability Summary
| Region | Today | Tomorrow |
|---|---|---|
| Arkansas and Tennessee core | 15 percent hatched | Shifting south |
| Louisiana and Mississippi | Increasing | 15 percent hatched |
| Dallas and northeast Texas | 5 to 10 percent | 2 to 5 percent |
| Upstate New York and New England | 2 percent | Not indicated |
Residents across Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana and Mississippi should have shelter plans ready and multiple ways to receive weather alerts active both today and tomorrow.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for live tornado threat updates across the Mid South today and tomorrow.
