Dallas, Lubbock, Shreveport, and Houston Face Giant 2 to 3 Inch Hail on Mother’s Day Sunday May 10 With 30 Percent Probability Zone Centered Over Dallas
DALLAS, TEXAS — Giant hail of 2 to 3 inches or larger could directly impact Mother’s Day plans across a large corridor of Texas, Louisiana, and surrounding states on Sunday, May 10, 2026. The hail probability outlook updated May 9, 2026 at 4:01 AM ET shows a 30 percent hail probability centered directly over Dallas, with the significant hail threat extending across a broad area from Lubbock and Amarillo in the west through Shreveport and Little Rock in the east.
Hail Probability Zones for Sunday May 10
| Probability | Zone Coverage |
|---|---|
| 30 percent | Dallas, Texas and immediate surrounding area |
| 15 percent | Lubbock, San Antonio, Shreveport, Oklahoma City corridor |
| 5 percent | Houston, New Orleans, Memphis, Little Rock, Mobile, Jacksonville |
| 2 inch plus hail possible | Hatched zone centered over Dallas and west Texas |
The Most Dangerous Zone Sunday
The 30 percent probability zone centered over Dallas represents the highest hail risk on the map for Sunday. Within this zone a hatched area indicates where 2 inches or larger hail is specifically possible, covering a focused corridor centered over Dallas and extending westward toward Lubbock.
This is the zone where vehicles, roofs, skylights, and outdoor property face the greatest risk of significant hail damage on Mother’s Day.
The Wider Hail Threat Across the South
The 15 percent hail probability zone extends across a very wide area covering:
- Lubbock and Amarillo, Texas
- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- San Antonio, Texas
- Shreveport, Louisiana
- Little Rock, Arkansas
A broader 5 percent zone reaches all the way to Houston, New Orleans, Memphis, Mobile, and Jacksonville, meaning hail cannot be ruled out across nearly the entire southern tier of the United States on Sunday.
Mother’s Day Outdoor Plans at Risk
Anyone with outdoor Mother’s Day activities, cookouts, or gatherings across Dallas, Lubbock, Shreveport, and the broader Texas and Louisiana corridor should have an indoor backup plan ready for Sunday. Hail of 2 to 3 inches is capable of causing serious vehicle and property damage in a matter of minutes with little warning.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for continuing updates on Sunday’s Mother’s Day hail threat across Texas and the South.
