Oklahoma and Texas Face 45 Percent Probability of Significant 3-Inch-Plus Hail With Multiple Tornadoes and 60 MPH Winds This Saturday Evening April 25
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS — A high probability hail outbreak is developing across Oklahoma and Texas this Saturday evening, April 25, 2026, with the hail outlook showing a 45 percent probability of significant 3-inch-or-larger hail across the core zone centered on Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Wichita Falls, and Dallas — alongside threats of 60-plus mph damaging wind gusts and multiple tornadoes.
45 Percent Significant Hail Probability Is Extremely High
The afternoon hail outlook places the peak 45 percent significant hail probability directly over central Oklahoma and into north Texas — a value that represents one of the highest hail probability signals possible for a single day outlook. Significant hail is defined as 2 inches or larger in diameter, but today’s storms are capable of producing stones exceeding 3 inches.
Hail Probability Zone Breakdown
| Probability | Zone | Key Cities |
|---|---|---|
| 45% significant hail (purple/hatched) | Core — highest risk | Oklahoma City, central Oklahoma, north Texas |
| 30%+ (red/hatched) | Elevated zone | Tulsa, Wichita Falls, Dallas, Tyler |
| 15%+ (yellow/hatched) | Broad threat | Wichita, Topeka, Shreveport, broader region |
| 5%+ (tan) | Outer zone | Abilene, Waco, Springfield, St. Louis corridor |
Full Hazard Threat for This Evening
All three major severe weather hazards are active simultaneously across the risk zone tonight:
- Very large hail — 3 inches or larger, significant hail probability at 45 percent in core zone
- Damaging wind gusts — 60 mph or greater with organized storm cells
- Multiple tornadoes — scattered rotating supercells capable of producing tornadoes through the evening
Protect Vehicles and Property Before Storms Arrive
With hail exceeding 3 inches possible across the Oklahoma City and Dallas corridor, vehicle and property damage will be severe with any storm that passes overhead. Residents across central Oklahoma, Tulsa, Wichita Falls, and the Dallas and Tyler area should have all vehicles under cover and remain sheltered as storms develop this evening.
Storms are expected to intensify through the afternoon and evening hours with the threat continuing well into the night across the region.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for continuing updates on tonight’s severe hail and storm threat across Oklahoma and Texas.
