Tonight, Central Texas Braces for Increasing Tornado Chances as Supercell Thunderstorms Fire With Damaging Winds and Very Large Hail Also Possible
CENTRAL TEXAS — Tornado chances are increasing across central Texas this Sunday evening, May 10, 2026, as supercell thunderstorms are expected to fire later tonight. Alongside the tornado threat, damaging winds and very large hail will also be possible as the storm system develops.
Tornado Probability Zone Targets the Heart of Central Texas
Tornado probability data updated at 12:38 PM ET shows a well-defined threat zone centered over central Texas. The probability levels break down as follows:
- 30% tornado probability — core zone covering the highest-risk area in central Texas
- 2% tornado probability — broader surrounding zone extending toward the Dallas area to the east and well west toward Lubbock
The highest-risk area sits in the heart of central Texas, well away from San Antonio to the south.
All Three Major Severe Weather Hazards on the Table
As supercell thunderstorms develop later this evening, conditions support:
- Tornadoes — primary and increasing threat for central Texas
- Damaging winds — possible with any supercell that develops
- Very large hail — threat area overlaps directly with the tornado zone
Have Your Shelter Plan Ready Before Dark
If you are in central Texas, now is the time to review your severe weather safety plan. Know where you will shelter if a tornado warning is issued for your area. Avoid being outdoors or on the road during the peak storm window tonight.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for live updates as this tornado threat develops across central Texas tonight.
