Weather

IOWA — Machine learning severe weather models are strongly signaling a major outbreak across Sunday May 17 and Monday May 18, 2026, with hatched zones indicating the potential for destructive large hail and EF2 or stronger tornadoes across a broad corridor of the central and eastern United States. The threat expands significantly from Sunday into…

KANSAS — A severe weather outbreak is possible across a massive portion of the United States on Monday May 18, 2026, with the highest concern focused on the corridor between Kansas and Michigan. The severe weather outlook updated at 5:06 AM ET on May 14, 2026 shows a 30% severe risk centered over Omaha, Kansas…

CENTRAL ILLINOIS — A cluster of storms is likely across central and southern Illinois Friday morning May 15, 2026, with the potential for large hail up to 1 inch and wind gusts of 50 MPH or greater in the red shaded zone. Simulated radar valid at 6:00 AM EDT Friday May 15 shows the heaviest…

ORLANDO, FLORIDA — Florida’s historic drought has reached a level where the state needs 3 to 4 feet of rain during the upcoming wet season just to eliminate the deficit. City-by-city data shows rainfall needs ranging from 36 inches in Pensacola and Tallahassee up to 47 inches in North Port — all required over the…

KANSAS — All severe hazards are possible across parts of the Plains into the Upper Midwest on Day 3, Saturday May 16, 2026, with the Slight Risk zone centered over a corridor from Wichita and Kansas City north through Omaha and Cedar Rapids. Where storms manage to break through capping, large to giant hail, damaging…

NORTH CAROLINA — Drought conditions across the Carolinas, Virginia, and Kentucky have reached a critical level, with some areas needing nearly 20 inches of rainfall in a single month to end the drought. NOAA climatological data as of May 10, 2026 shows the full scale of the precipitation deficit across the region. How Much Rain…

PASCO COUNTY, FLORIDA — The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay has launched a damage survey in Pasco County following Tuesday’s storms, after a rotating supercell came ashore north of Tampa Bay on May 12, 2026. NWS meteorologists are on the ground surveying potential tornado damage in the area, with rotation track data updated at…

KANSAS — A very large hatched severe weather risk has been issued for the Central United States on Monday May 18, 2026, with all hazards of severe weather possible across a massive corridor. A Day 6 severe probability forecast issued at 00 UTC Wednesday May 13, 2026 valid for 24 hours ending 12 UTC Tuesday…

KANSAS — An elevated tornado threat has been detected for Sunday May 17, 2026, covering a broad corridor from the Central Plains through the Great Lakes region. Tornado probability data valid from May 17 at 18Z through May 18 at 06Z shows two distinct focused zones of elevated tornado risk embedded within a larger threat…

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA — A 5-day stretch of storm chances is underway across Minnesota, with the first and most significant round arriving Thursday afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms with a 90% chance of afternoon storms are expected to develop in western Minnesota after 2 PM, arriving in the Twin Cities after 4 PM and moving east by 8…