Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the South Face Widespread Rainfall Through Early Next Week With Up to 3 to 4 Inches Possible
SOUTHERN UNITED STATES — A lingering frontal boundary will drive widespread and beneficial rainfall across much of the South from the end of this week through early next week, with the NOAA blend of models showing accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama through Wednesday May 6, and a few storms possible across the Florida peninsula around Sunday off Gulf moisture.
Rain Pattern Takes Shape Late This Week
The setup involves a frontal line stalling across the South, repeatedly tapping Gulf moisture and generating rounds of showers and storms from late this week into early next week. While exact totals and timing are not yet locked in, the pattern and general idea are well established in model guidance.
A few storms are also expected to push into the Florida peninsula around Sunday as Gulf moisture surges northward on the eastern side of the system.
Projected Rainfall Totals — End of Week Through Wednesday May 6
The NOAA blend of models valid from April 28 through May 6 shows the heaviest totals concentrated across the central Gulf Coast states:
| Zone | Projected Totals |
|---|---|
| Northern Louisiana and southern Arkansas | 3.2 to 3.7 inches |
| Central and southern Mississippi | 3.0 to 3.5 inches |
| Central Alabama | 2.3 to 4.0 inches |
| Western Louisiana and eastern Texas | 2.2 to 3.4 inches |
| Georgia and South Carolina | 1.2 to 1.9 inches |
| Florida peninsula | 0.9 to 1.8 inches |
| Tennessee and Kentucky fringe | 1.7 to 1.9 inches |
| Carolinas and Virginia | 0.8 to 1.5 inches |
Still Some Uncertainty
Forecasters are clear that nothing is locked in yet — track, timing, and intensity of individual rain events will shift as the week progresses. However, the overall signal for beneficial and potentially significant rainfall across the South is consistent across multiple model solutions.
Residents across Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and surrounding Gulf Coast states should monitor daily forecast updates through the week as this rain pattern comes into sharper focus.
Stay with CabarrusWeekly.com for continuing coverage of the developing Southern rain pattern through the end of the week and into early May.
